Tanzania and Kenya among African countries to suffer intensive El-Nino weather storms in 2026-2027
Experts warn that Kenya, Tanzania and other Eastern African countries will be more susceptible to storms, floods, freezing weather or extreme drought in some parts on the continent.
Black News 
Is a Super El Niño Brewing in 2026?
There are reports that the year 2026 is likely to experience the worst weather phenomenon in form of the strongest intensity of El Nino.
Experts warn that Kenya, Tanzania and other Eastern African countries will be more susceptible to storms, floods, freezing weather or extreme drought in some parts on the continent, being effects of the predicted ‘Super El-Nino 2026.’
In response to that, the Intergovernmental Authority on Development in Eastern Africa (IGAD)’s Climate Prediction and Application Center (ICPAC) is converging virtual online meetings to address the issue of yet another El Nino weather spell, likely to affect most parts of the African Continent.
Weather experts warn that the world is set to witness the worst reality of climate change in the form of the strongest ever intensity of El Nino in 2026.
At least this is according to the updated forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which points out that there is a highly possibility to witness the odds of a “super El Nino” forming in the months ahead.
On the other hand, multiple models and data from sources including the National Weather Service and European Union’s climate monitor show sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region 3-4°C above normal, with over 90 percent probability of El Niño conditions through fall 2026 and winter 2027.
The European Union’s climate monitor reveals that ocean temperatures are edging toward record highs and in the process of brewing the biggest El-Nino weather spell.
“It’s a matter of days before we are back in record-breaking ocean’s sea surface temperatures (SSTs) again,” Samantha Burgess, strategic lead for climate at the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), was quoted as saying.
As per the latest intensity prediction, there is a 60 percent chance of the phenomenon emerging by July with a growing 25 percent of it reaching record-breaking super levels in preceding months.
The worst El-Nino record so far remains the heavy rains spell of between 1997 and 1998. But the predicted 2026 one is likely to surpass the former.
Understanding what a potential Super El Niño could mean for Africa has become increasingly important and therefore the webinar organized by ICPAC is set to provide deeper insight into the evolving climate conditions, expected regional variations, and the sectors likely to be most affected by this phenomenon.
Regional Climate Centers across Africa will share expert analysis on possible impacts on agriculture, water resources, health, energy, livelihoods, and disaster risk, while highlighting the importance of preparedness and coordinated early action.
